Germán Toro Ghio

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The intention to trigger a worldwide conflict should be readily apparent…


Check out the article from Energy Central at www.energycentral.com for more helpful information about the changing energy industry.

Energy Central's 'Top Voices' event in December 2023 acclaimed exceptional contributors in the Energy & Sustainability Network. Winners were featured in six articles, showcasing the community's gratitude for their valuable input. The platform provides industry professionals with a space to showcase their work, interact with peers, and collaborate with leading voices.

Congratulations to the Top Voices of 2023: David Hunt, Germán Toro Ghio, Schalk Cloete, and Dan Yurman, a testament to their expertise. -Matt Chester, Energy Central


Why did Hamas decide to behave aggressively despite knowing how it would affect Palestinians, Israelis, and the global community?

The image is from Germán & Co via Shutterstock.

  1. Collaboration between political groups and countries is apparent as it facilitates sharing resources, information, and skills on a significant scale, fostering a sense of unity and cooperation in a high-stakes stage to create a global conflict.

  2. In light of recent events in the Middle East, where Hamas is blamed for Israel's third occupation, creating a contentious international debate, the geopolitical ramifications are widespread, with global leaders weighing in on the escalating tensions and the potential for a lasting resolution seeming more uncertain than ever.

  3. Moreover, the association of Hamas with the ongoing Suez Canal crisis has led to significant diplomatic tensions beyond the region's confines.

  4. The importance of this vital waterway cannot be overstated, with approximately 1 million barrels of crude oil and 1.4 million barrels of gasoline and other refined products being transported daily from the Middle East and Asia through the canal to Europe.

  5. In the past three weeks, authorities from various European countries, including Sweden, Finland, and Norway, have raised alarms and issued warnings regarding a potential conflict with Russia.  The escalating tensions in the region have prompted these nations to openly express their grave concerns about the impending possibility of a military confrontation with their eastern neighbour, reflecting the urgent need for collective efforts to address and mitigate such geopolitical challenges.

  6. The "no man's land" is a disputed region crucial for international trade.


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A) Foreword:

'No man's land' is a disputed region crucial for international trade…

Consequently, the situation has evolved into a focal point of intense geopolitical friction, sparking heated diplomatic negotiations and fierce battles for influence among various key stakeholders, leading to a complex and dynamic power struggle with far-reaching implications.

This opening passage delves into an intricate and longstanding issue that began in 1916, marking the start of an ancestral conflict. The historical roots of this deeply ingrained dispute have persisted over generations, shaping the dynamics of society and infusing the present with the weight of the past.

It is essential to comprehend the underlying reasons for the inhumane actions that transpired during an electronic music concert in southern Israel on October 7th of last year, which resulted in innocent young people being harmed.  It is crucial to distinguish between the historical events of the nations involved and the overarching narrative that has fostered a deep sense of betrayal amongst both populations, possibly stemming from the Sykes–Picot agreement, an egregious historical treaty negotiated without the consent of the nations claiming the no man's land.

The fact remains that we need to confront the violent actions of Hamas, which continually seeks to create disorder in the region.  At the same time, we must carefully consider the impact of Benjamin Netanyahu's extremely conservative government's harsh and retaliatory tactics, to which Hamas was already profoundly accustomed.

The Israeli Prime Minister was visibly enraged and stunned by the treacherous and carefully planned poison gas attack orchestrated by Hamas.  The attack, designed to create chaos reminiscent of a Trojan horse, was deemed a significant failure by the Israeli intelligence establishment.  As the leader addressed the nation, his voice reflected a mix of anger and determination to bring those responsible to justice.  He vowed to pursue "an eye for an eye" and "a tooth for a tooth"” showing an unwavering commitment to holding the perpetrators accountable for their actions.  Amidst the solemn atmosphere, the prime minister also emphasized the need for unity and resilience among the citizens, calling for solidarity in the face of such cowardly acts of violence.

Netanyahu meticulously, ruthlessly, and controversially executed a strategic and calculated scheme against Hamas' secret resources, perhaps for valid and pressing reasons stemming from the threat to Israeli security. Only time will demonstrate if Benjamin Netanyahu's actions are justified and effective in addressing the ongoing challenges posed by Hamas..  However, this provocation has resulted in enormous casualties in the civilian population, particularly innocent children, who have endured immense suffering as a result of these ongoing conflicts.  The military actions by the Israeli army have been labelled as atrocities by many countries, including some influential Middle Eastern allies to the sovereignty of the state of Israel. This has led to widespread condemnation and calls for immediate intervention from the international community to address the escalating humanitarian crisis in the region.

It is essential to acknowledge that Hamas possesses a comprehensive understanding of how Israel will respond to any attack, underscoring the significance of their grasp of the potential repercussions of their actions within the intricate political landscape of the region.  Furthermore, Hamas and its allies are mindful of the current global conditions, which have been shaped by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, ongoing conflicts, and the shift from a unipolar to a multipolar global order.  These circumstances present hazards to public health and safety, carrying the potential to sow discord, famine, and desolation, and could potentially give rise to conflicts reminiscent of those witnessed during the interwar period.  Historical evidence suggests that significant economic turmoil often exacerbates interpersonal hostilities among individuals.

Acknowledging different levels of responsibility emphasizes the importance of establishing a comprehensive and impartial historical account to comprehend this conflict's many layers and complexities.  Adopting a precise and objective approach to documenting the events and decisions involved is crucial for developing a comprehensive understanding of the various dimensions of responsibility in question.

Growing up in a South American country with a strong tradition of multiculturalism, I witnessed how many people in Chile sought refuge from xenophobia or war over the last century.  Despite occasional periods of significant intolerance, during which anti-democratic factions from both sides undermined self-ruled principles, Chileans have continuously strived to uphold their commitment to inclusivity and mutual understanding.  In my country, students from diverse cultural backgrounds coexist harmoniously in educational settings, fostering genuine acceptance, understanding, and mutual respect amongst a wide-ranging population that includes Palestinians, Israelis, Germans, Yugoslavs, Italians, Spaniards, French, English, and many others, creating a rich tapestry of experiences and perspectives within our educational institutions.  This rich cultural mosaic has enriched our educational experience and contributed to a more profound sense of empathy and global awareness among the younger generations.

Moreover, in my developmental years, I regularly spent a significant amount of time at my maternal grandparents' residence, where I could profoundly engage with my family's rich heritage and hear firsthand about their experiences.  During one of these memorable visits, I gained a deeper understanding of the human repercussions resulting from the ongoing Israeli–Palestinian conflict.  This eye-opening experience left a lasting impact, significantly influencing my comprehension of the complex intricacies of the world around me. This impact still resonates 50 years later.

Unbeknownst to me, my grandparents had neighbours from Palestine who were adept at hunting turtledoves and engaging in skyshooting.  It was a surprising sight for me when I witnessed Don Emmanuelle, my nono, skillfully preparing the small birds in an Italian style before graciously offering them to our Palestinian friends, ensuring all the pellets were meticulously removed.  The cultural exchange between our families was unexpected and heartwarming.

In the cold winter of June 1967 in Southern Chile, I frequently visited my dear fellows from the Far East.  One of those present was Mary, a charming young girl with a serene smile that could illuminate an entire room.  Upon entering their secluded, open-door home, I observed a perplexing, melancholy atmosphere permeating the air.  Assembled at the dining table, everyone had a sombre countenance mirrored by pristine, uneaten plates of white rice, symbolizing the weighty responsibility they bore.  A photograph depicting President Nasser was a poignant reminder of the family's grief and mourning during the brief conflict known as the Six-Day War, overshadowing their joyful gatherings.

This poignant moment has sparked a deep reflection within me about the complex dynamics of cultural coexistence and the enduring historical tensions that exist between these two nations who find themselves without a home, both vying for ownership of a space that belongs to no one—the timeless observers of the immensely significant waterway vital for global maritime trade, the Suez Canal.  The important waterway has been central to many disagreements, symbolizing global relations and trade between countries.

The other challenge regarding this analysis is carefully considering a starting point in this longstanding conflict.  This crucial task demands a meticulous and comprehensive evaluation of past occurrences and their widespread influence on the present circumstances. It is imperative to delve deeply into historical events to gain a profound understanding of their enduring implications.  Thus, it is imperative to seize this opportune moment to delve into the intricacies of the Sykes-Picot memorandum—a pivotal agreement signed in 1916.  The memorandum's repercussions have profoundly influenced the region's dynamics and persisted in moulding its geopolitical landscape and shaping the political and social fabric of the affected nations over the past century.


B) The Sykes-Picot Agreement:

Signed in 1916 between Britain and France, the Sykes-Picot Agreement resulted in the division of the Ottoman Empire's territories, including Palestine, without due consideration for the welfare of its inhabitants.

The agreement has become well-known for its divisive impact in the region, stirring deep-seated tensions and grievances. Both diplomatic envoys were highly cognizant of the sensitive nature of the conflict, understanding the complexities and intricacies of the region's history and competing interests.

They exerted considerable effort to uphold equilibrium and appease both parties while advancing their strategic and economic objectives. Nevertheless, the preservation of Britain and France's economic interests, encompassing oil, natural gas, and the management of the Suez Canal, continued to be their foremost concern, casting a shadow of suspicion over their professed commitment to the region's well-being. Despite their careful planning, the repercussions of their actions remain evident, echoing through generations and shaping the contemporary political landscape of the Middle East.

The disclosure of the Sykes-Picot Agreement in the early 20th century caused significant upheaval among the Palestinian and Israeli communities, inflicting profound discontent and disillusionment that reverberates to this day.

The agreement was viewed as a direct infringement upon the Palestinian people's right to self-determination and independence, an imposition that disregarded their deep-seated aspirations for a sovereign and unified state. Similarly, the Jewish population in Palestine experienced a sense of betrayal as the agreement failed to acknowledge their valid national aspirations rooted in their historical ties to the land, perpetuating a climate of distrust and discord.

The repercussions of the Sykes-Picot Agreement continue to reverberate in the region to this day, exemplified by the lasting legacy of arbitrarily drawn borders that have fueled persistent conflicts and tensions. To sum up, the enduring significance of the Sykes-Picot Agreement serves as a stark testament to the profound sense of betrayal felt by Palestinians and Israelis alike. This historical accord's implications persist, perpetuating and inflaming ongoing conflicts and further deepening the divisions between these nations. Its profound influence on collective memory has shaped the course of events in the region, leaving an indelible mark.


C) Why did Hamas choose to take actions that could worsen the situation for Palestinians, even though they were aware it would cause problems?

Palestinians, in the midst of prolonged suffering and often overshadowed by geopolitical agendas, have faced an ongoing struggle to assert their agency in their own plight. Some experts contend that, given their limited options for influence, Hamas embarked on a bold and risky strategy to garner attention and support within their community. However, others challenge this view, suggesting that Hamas has displayed a lack of genuine concern for the well-being of Palestinians. To approach this issue with greater objectivity, it is essential to take into account the widespread disdain with which the Arab world regards Palestinians, further complicating the geopolitical dynamics at play in this intricate situation.

Subsequent to this, Palestine’s significance to other nations diminishes; however, the Arab world has emerged as a major and steadfast supporter of the Palestinian cause. This has led to a significant shift in the geopolitical landscape, with human rights, international law, and normative considerations playing a relatively minor role. Therefore, it is imperative for the Palestinian leadership to acknowledge this influential support and actively pursue the formation of coalitions and alliances within the Arab world to advance their cause.


D) The profound impact of surprise attacks throughout history includes the Trojan Horse episode in Homer's The Odyssey:

Hamas comprehended the widespread and lasting repercussions of the attack, which negatively affected individuals residing in the West Bank and Gaza.  Furthermore, Hamas' actions had no impact except for galvanizing ultra-fundamentalist Arab groups to launch a united campaign against Israel.  This is the sole reason behind the appalling assault on civilians that occurred on October 7th, leading to further dire consequences for the Palestinian population.  However, history did not conclude here.  

The ultra-extremist Arab group was clandestinely planning to instigate an unprecedented regional or global conflict, capitalizing on the ultra-conservative Israeli government's internal power struggles.  Such surprise attacks have long been recognized as a military strategy that can create disorder, devastation, and success throughout history.  These unexpected assaults can prompt opponents to quickly review and revise their strategies, resulting in swift and resounding successes for the attackers, shaping the future course of the conflict.

Considering this historical perspective, we must acknowledge the uncertainties surrounding its applicability in the current situation.  While some argue that principles from past conflicts may not directly align with our evolving geopolitical landscape, it is undeniable that the enduring significance of surprise and strategic manoeuvring persists.  Just as ancient commanders relied on catching their opponents off guard, we are similarly compelled in our competitive environment to innovate and devise novel approaches to outmanoeuvre our adversaries.

Some examples highlighting the profound impact of surprise attacks throughout history include the Trojan Horse episode in Homer's The Odyssey, which vividly demonstrates the significance of strategic deception in penetrating Troy's defences.  

Similarly, the stunning victory achieved by Hannibal, leader of Carthage, over a more formidable Roman army in the Battle of Cannae in 206 BC shocked the ancient world and underscored the potency of surprise tactics.  Moving forward in history, the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor in 1941 marked a pivotal turning point in World War II, showcasing the capacity of surprise assaults to reshape the course of conflict.  

Post-World War II, surprise attacks continued to shape global events, with China's unexpected involvement in the Korean War of 1950 catching United Nations forces off guard and prompting a reorganization of the Korean Peninsula.  Furthermore, Israel's utilization of surprise tactics during the Six-Day War of 1967 and the October War of 1973 underscored the enduring impact of strategic cunning in the face of threats from neighbouring countries.  

The tragic assault on the Twin Towers in New York City on September 11th, 2001, and the subsequent COVID-19 pandemic are stark reminders of the far-reaching consequences of unforeseen events, prompting societal shifts and unveiling deep-seated inequalities across the globe.


E) The Resurgence of Arab Diplomacy: Three Monarchs and a Wild Card:

Morocco, the United Arab Emirates, and Saudi Arabia, along with the 'Wild Card' Qatar, are attempting to use diplomacy as a crucial instrument of statecraft to influence and project power on the global stage within their constraints. 

In the broader Middle East, it has long been apparent – and generally accurate – that the Arab states are in disarray.  The region has faced corruption, warfare, extremism, ineffective leadership, and social, political, and economic challenges.

These factors have put the states in a disadvantageous position compared to the more assertive non-Arab powers in the area, namely Israel, Turkey, and Iran.  Although the situation has not completely transformed, Turkey and Iran still face significant obstacles related to their respective governments.

Diplomacy is still conducted by everyone in the region, and they can do it well.  Diplomatic skills can be present, but a country's ability to act may be limited by its reliance on foreign powers or money, internal conflicts, or political considerations.  Some countries in the region are struggling, which hinders their ability to engage in diplomacy.  However, there are other states, such as Oman, that perform well in this regard. It is important to note that these are relatively minor players on the global stage.  Jordan and Egypt are skilled diplomatic actors, but their dependence on others due to economic or security considerations limits their effectiveness.  Iraq, a substantial country like Egypt, could play a more critical role in the region. However, internal power struggles that have not yet been fully resolved limit its ability to do so.

In recent years, there has been a resurgence in Arab diplomacy by some countries in the region that have stood out for their independence, impact, and determination to exert influence and promote their interests.    While three of these states generally exercise this diplomacy with a view to a more stable and ultimately better region, the fourth state plays a spoiler role, enabling some of the more retrograde and destructive tendencies in the region.  I have named these four states the three 'Kings' (Morocco, the United Arab Emirates, and Saudi Arabia) and the 'Wild Card' (Qatar), due to their differing policies and initiatives.  All four states are authoritarian hereditary monarchies. While some policies may be disagreeable, it is possible to understand their reasoning and perspective.

The four states are generally considered 'independent' as they are primarily motivated by internal self-interest. They have successfully manoeuvred even when faced with pressure from external powers, including the United States and the European Union.

Under the reign of King Muhammad VI, Morocco has made significant progress in consolidating its control over the Western Sahara region. It has gained recognition from Western countries and leveraged its position as a gateway to the European Union to gain advantages over neighbouring Spain and rival Algeria. It is important to maintain objectivity and avoid subjective evaluations.

However, it is worth noting that Morocco was involved in the 'Catargate' scandal, which highlights its ambitions.  Morocco is a country that effectively employs diplomatic strategies despite lacking the oil wealth of other states.

The UAE has been the most capable actor in the region for several years, utilizing both soft and hard power to advance its interests. It has a presence throughout the region, from Libya and Sudan to Yemen and Syria.

While I do not support the despised Assad regime, I can comprehend the UAE's reasoning for reintegrating the Damascus regime into the Arab community to counteract Iran's ambitions. Whether this will work is uncertain, but one can only admire the extent of their ambition.

The UAE has worked diligently to establish itself as a leading voice of religious tolerance, as evidenced by the Abrahamic Family Home complex following the 2019 Document on Human Fraternity signed in Abu Dhabi, and climate change, by hosting the COP28 climate-change talks later this year.

Monumental changes in effective diplomacy have also been observed in Saudi Arabia.  Historically, this country has spent a lot of money but has shown very little progress.

Under the leadership of Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman (MBS), the Saudis have implemented a compelling strategy that combines domestic reforms, rebranding, and diplomacy. For instance, they recently signed a comprehensive security agreement with Iraq.[1] While it remains to be seen whether these efforts will succeed in distancing Iraq from Iranian influence, they are a wise move.

Saudi Arabia's recent pledge to end 'unconditional' foreign aid, which is often wasted or counterproductive, was long overdue.  This message was particularly important for places like Ramallah and Beirut, which have traditionally been recipients of Saudi money but have not always used it effectively. 

In 2022, during a visit by President Joe Biden, the Saudis demonstrated their diplomatic and media skills by having Turkey's Erdogan come to Riyadh and humbly request some favours. This followed years of Turkish provocation against the kingdom, as well as against the UAE and Egypt.

The United States has had to adjust its policies towards Saudi Arabia, rather than the other way around.  The Saudis and Emiratis have managed the tension arising from the Russia-Ukraine conflict and US preoccupation with it adeptly, without damaging their relationships with any other countries.

Additionally, all three nations have pursued an independent and assertive foreign policy, which includes a new approach to Israel.  The United Arab Emirates and Morocco have taken steps towards improving their relations with Israel. The UAE has done so openly and enthusiastically, while Morocco has taken a more gradual approach.


F) The Suez Crisis:

It began on October 29, 1956, when Israeli armed forces invaded Egypt towards the Suez Canal.  The canal controlled two-thirds of the oil used by Europe and was nationalized by Egyptian President Gamal Abdel Nasser in July of that year.  French and British troops joined the Israeli forces, which strained their relationships with the United States and almost drew the Soviet Union into the conflict.  Ultimately, Egypt emerged as the victor, and the British, French, and Israeli governments withdrew their troops in late 1956 and early 1957.  This event was significant in the context of the Cold War superpowers.

The Suez Canal, which was constructed in Egypt under the supervision of French diplomat Ferdinand de Lesseps and operated jointly by a British–French organization, was nationalized by Egyptian leader Nasser in July 1956.  The Suez Canal, which opened in 1869, separates Egypt from the Sinai Peninsula and connects the Mediterranean Sea to the Indian Ocean via the Red Sea, facilitating the direct shipping of goods between Europe and Asia.  Due to its significance in international trade, it quickly became a source of conflict among Egypt's neighbours and Cold War superpowers vying for dominance.

The Israeli–British–French attack on Egypt was prompted by Nasser's nationalization of the Suez Canal, which was supported by Soviet arms and funding.  The British were angered by the move and sought the support of the French and neighbouring Israel for an armed assault to retake the canal during secret military consultations.

The crisis resulted in the United Nations Emergency Force (UNEF) deployment and had significant repercussions.  These included the diminishing influence of Britain and France as world powers, the elevation of Nasser as a mighty hero in Arab and Egyptian nationalist movements, and the reopening of the Suez Canal in 1975 as a gesture of peace.


G) Recent shipping disruptions, like the Suez Canal crisis, have increased geopolitical instability:

According to Fitch Ratings, ongoing shipping disruptions and the re-routing of vessels away from the Red Sea are expected to continue imposing a geopolitical premium on major commodity markets, including oil, gas, chemicals, and fertilizer. These disruptions and elevated geopolitical risks, exacerbated by recent shipping incidents, are projected to sustain premiums on oil prices. Nevertheless, unless there are substantial disruptions to physical oil production or a widespread intensification of attacks on vital oil transport routes in the region, it is unlikely to substantially affect the projected Brent price for 2024.

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), the combined oil shipments through the Suez Canal, the SUMED pipeline, and the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait represented approximately 12% of the total global seaborne oil trade during the initial half of 2023. Notably, the Houthi rebels have directed most of their attacks towards the narrow Bab-el-Mandeb Strait. As a consequence, several prominent companies and shippers have ceased transit through the Suez Canal, opting to reroute around the African continent. While these developments are likely to momentarily constrict the oil and gas markets, necessitating adjustments in supply chains, they are not anticipated to exert significant impacts on prices. Notably, with OPEC+ maintaining over 5 million barrels per day of spare capacity as of January 2024, and a well-matched balance between global oil supply and demand, the overall outlook envisages ample supply in the global oil market throughout 2024. The IEA's projections indicate a moderate expansion in global oil demand for 2024, influenced by diminished global economic growth and a deceleration in China's oil consumption growth. Furthermore, the TTF gas price assumption for 2024 remains unaltered.

Disruptions spreading to the vital passage of the Strait of Hormuz, exerting their impact on the production levels of oil and gas, would inevitably yield more discernible consequences for the worldwide oil and gas markets, ultimately resulting in sustained escalation of prices. The European chemicals sector, reliant on imports from Asia, has already borne the brunt of diminishing demand owing to the deceleration of the global economy and the destocking activities prevailing throughout the chemical supply chain. The potential of supply disruptions stemming from delayed shipments in the Red Sea is poised to further impinge upon the already beleaguered sector. Furthermore, the export of fertilizers passing through the Red Sea constitutes a substantial share, approximately 7%, of the overall potash market while accounting for about 5% of the global phosphate rock market. Moreover, the mounting freight rates are anticipated to exert additional strain on profitability, with shipping expenses constituting roughly 10% of the prevailing fertilizer prices.


H) The "axis of resistance”:

The term, used to describe the alliance of Iran and its allies in the Middle East, gained renewed attention in October 2023. Secretary of State Anthony Blinken issued a warning, emphasizing the United States' readiness to swiftly and decisively respond to any attack originating from Iran or its affiliated groups in the region. The White House explicitly pointed fingers at Iran for allegedly facilitating assaults on U.S. military installations in Syria and Iraq. Furthermore, suspicions arose regarding Iran's potential role in backing the October 7 attack by Hamas on Israel. This situation has heightened concerns surrounding Iranian influence in the area and has sparked apprehensions of a wider conflict. While the United States has stated that there is no direct evidence linking Iran to the Hamas attack, various analysts and regional experts have emphasized the tangible connections between Iran and the actions carried out by Hamas.

Hamas is an independent Palestinian movement that has received funding and weapons from Iran despite facing challenges in their relationship, including disagreements over issues such as Syria's civil war. Furthermore, Hamas receives support from Turkey, a Sunni Islamist group.

The '“axi of resistance” is an informal alliance of regional forces with varying degrees of support from Iran. The alliance includes Sunni and Shia Muslim groups and governments in Yemen, Syria, Lebanon, Gaza and Iraq with varying degrees of ties to Tehran. The Iranian regime and its Quds Force have expanded this network due to their shared resistance to Western powers and Israel.

The Axis comprises of Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Syrian regime, Shia militias in Syria, Houthi rebels in Yemen, and Iran-backed Popular Mobilisation Forces in Iraq. These groups have varying relationships with Iran and with each other. Although Hamas is part of the alliance, it maintains a separate identity and has supporters other than Iran.

Increased coordination between Iran-backed groups has led to meetings between Hezbollah and Hamas to discuss the situation in the Middle East. The aim of the coordination is to achieve a victory for the resistance in Gaza and Palestine and to oppose Israel's actions. According to experts, there has been increased cross-border coordination among these groups as Iran has been working to unite its proxies against Israel.

The unity of Iranian-backed proxy groups could impact the ongoing conflict in the region, which may require allied organisations to offer military support if any member groups encounter a significant threat. Tight control of the battlefield is crucial in preventing a wider war from engulfing the region.


I) That said:

Hamas has been widely recognized as responsible for instigating conflicts not just in Israel, but also in other areas around the world. Without a doubt, their actions have had far-reaching consequences and have contributed to triggering conflicts in various regions. Conversely, The Sykes-Picot Agreement, revealed in the early 20th century, had a significant impact on the Palestinian and Israeli communities, resulting in widespread dissatisfaction and loss of faith. The agreement, while intended to usher in a new era of self-determination and independence, ultimately led to dashed aspirations, unmet promises, and a profound sense of disillusionment among the affected populations.

The Palestinian people, deeply entrenched in their longing for self-determination and independence, were profoundly aggrieved by what they perceived as the egregious transgression of their rights through the Sykes-Picot Agreement. This historical accord not only disregarded their fervent yearning for a cohesive, autonomous nation but also appeared to solidify British hegemony over Palestine. Consequently, the Palestinians endured a protracted era of subjugation that cast a long, oppressive shadow over their once-optimistic aspirations, leaving them feeling profoundly betrayed.

The Sykes-Picot Agreement, signed in 1916, failed to acknowledge the valid national aspirations of the Jewish population in Palestine, disregarding their profound historical ties to the land. This disregard set the stage for a protracted and arduous struggle for the Jewish community as they sought to lay the groundwork for the establishment of the State of Israel.

The enduring legacy of the Sykes-Picot Agreement continues to resonate in the region to this day. The hasty drawing of borders, neglecting the intricate tapestry of ethnic, religious, and cultural diversity, has served as a catalyst for ongoing discord and unease. This agreement's profound imprint on both the past and present underscores the far-reaching consequences of clandestine diplomatic resolutions.

This agreement provides valuable insights for all parties involved, serving as a stark reminder of the dire consequences that can result from negotiations carried out without the active participation and consent of those most impacted. Inclusive dialogue and respect for self-determination are fundamental components that should inform the resolution of intricate geopolitical matters, underlining the pressing need for enhanced transparency and cooperation to secure a fairer and more sustainable future, as exemplified by the lessons from the Sykes-Picot Agreement.

In conclusion, the Sykes-Picot Agreement is undeniably a significant and pivotal event in history, serving as a poignant and enduring reminder of the profound sense of betrayal deeply felt by both Palestinians and Israelis. Its resonating consequences persistently reverberate, exerting a continual and detrimental influence on the existing conflicts, further exacerbating and widening the long-standing divisions between the two nations. This tumultuous period has indelibly etched its mark on the collective memory, shaping and profoundly influencing the trajectory of events in the region.

Furthermore, the Sykes-Picot Agreement, which was a secret understanding between the United Kingdom and France, has led to heightened tensions in the region. Recent reports suggest that France and England are considering involvement in the ongoing conflict, especially following a visit by French President Emmanuel Macron to Israel and Palestine. Additionally, the Gaza region remains volatile, and Israeli authorities are still diligently addressing the security challenges posed by Hamas and its affiliates. The current developments persist in significantly impacting the intricate geopolitical dynamics of the Middle East, consequently posing considerable risk to the supply and pricing of all fuel transported through the vital waterpassages in the region.